I suggest we (the people) need to ask ourselves: How accurate do we regular citizens expect climate models to be in order to give us the information we need?
I'm beginning to realize that the issue at the roots of all the avoidance and denial of the science behind our understanding of current changes in our climate is - the obvious implications it's lessons carry with them.
Namely, that our society is out-growing our planet's ability to sustain our life style expectations. Unlimited growth is not an option. And that's a tough pile to swallow - enough to encourage all sorts of crazy-making.
But, ignoring this reality isn't going to do our children's generations any good at all.
Dr. Gavin Schmidt
Feb 8, 2010 - Auburn University Hotel and Dixon Conference Center - Society of American Foresters Meeting
Dr. Gavin Schmidt is a climate modeler at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and is interested in modeling past, present and future climate. He works on developing and improving coupled climate models and, in particular, is interested in how their results can be compared to paleoclimatic proxy data. He has worked on assessing the climate response to multiple forcings, such as solar irradiance, atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, and greenhouse gases.
He received a BA (Hons) in Mathematics from Oxford University, a PhD in Applied Mathematics from University College London and was a NOAA Postdoctoral Fellow in Climate and Global Change Research. He is an Associate Editor for the Journal of Climate and was cited by Scientific American as one of the 50 Research Leaders of 2004.
He is the co-author of a new book "Climate Change: Picturing the Science" (W. W. Norton, 2009).
For more information please see: http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/climatechange
February 8, 2011 presentation by Prof. Inez Fung, UC Berkeley.
The first successful numerical weather forecast was made on the ENIAC (with fewer than 10 words memory) in 1950. This talk traces the development of atmospheric General Circulation Models (GCMs) for weather forecasting, to Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Earth System Models (ESMs) to illustrate the guts and gore of the huge codes. If we cannot predict the weather beyond 2 weeks, what do we mean by climate projections for the next century?
An in-depth look at the models that scientists are using to predict the future climate.
Jack McConnell is a professor of Atmospheric Science at York University.
Richard Peltier is a professor of Physics at the University of Toronto, director of the Centre for Global Change Science, lead investigator of the Polar Climate Stability Network and Scientific Director of SciNet.
Andrew Revkin is Senior Fellow for Environmental Understanding at Pace University and a contributor to the New York Times blog he started, Dot Earth, about efforts to balance human affairs with the planets limits.